DINAN, ATIKA (2017) ANALISIS PERDAGANGAN INTERNASIONAL TERHADAP SIKLUS BISNIS DI ASEAN-LIMA PERIODE 1999 - 2014. S1 thesis, Universitas Negeri Jakarta.
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Abstract
ABSTACT ATIKA DINAN. “Analysis of International Trade To Business Cycles in ASEAN-5 in Period of 1999 - 2014”. Thesis. The Education of Cooperation Economic. Economic and Administration Major. Faculty of Economic. State University of Jakarta. 2016. Lecturer Advisor: Dr. Harya Kuncara Wiralaga, SE, M.Si and Dicky Iranto, SE, M.Si. This research is aimed to analyze the effects of International Trade to Business Cycle in ASEAN-5. The data used in this research are the secondary data which is panel type in period of 1999 – 2014 and in five country in ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand), presented in annual data, sourced from Asean Secretariat and United Nations,. The methods of this research is multiple regression analysis. The technique of data analysis in this research is Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR). Based on BVAR by using Eviews 9.0 software, the output has indicated the Openness to Trade is positively and significantly affected business cycles in ASEAN-5, dummy Crisis is positively and significantly affected business cycles in ASEAN-5, and Intra Industry Trade (X1) is not affected to business cycles in ASEAN-5. Keywords: International trade, Openness to Trade, dummy Crisis, Intra Industry Trade (IIT), Business Cycle.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S1) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | Pembimbing I: Dr. Haryo Kuncoro W, SE, M.Si ., Pembimbing II: Dicky Iranto, SE, M.Si |
| Subjects: | Ilmu Sosial (Social Science) > Perdagangan, Komunikasi, Transportasi (Commerce, Communications, Transportation) > Perdagangan Internasional (International Commerce, Foreign Trade) |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi > S1 Pendidikan Ekonomi |
| Depositing User: | Budi Siswanto |
| Date Deposited: | 11 Dec 2017 08:25 |
| Last Modified: | 11 Dec 2017 08:25 |
| URI: | http://repository.fe.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/1248 |
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