DAMPAK KREDIBILITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR DI INDONESIA

GAOL, SISKA LUMBAN (2016) DAMPAK KREDIBILITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR DI INDONESIA. S1 thesis, Universitas Negeri Jakarta.

Preview	Text Cover.pdf Download (3MB) | Preview
Preview	Text Table_Of_Content.pdf Download (179kB) | Preview
Preview	Text Chapter1.pdf Download (218kB) | Preview
	Text Chapter2.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (334kB)
Preview	Text Chapter3.pdf Download (314kB) | Preview
	Text Chapter4.pdf Restricted to Repository staff only Download (345kB)
Preview	Text Chapter5.pdf Download (91kB) | Preview
Preview	Text Bibliography.pdf Download (181kB) | Preview

Abstract

ABSTRACT SISKA LUMBAN GAOL. The Impact Credibility Of Fiscal Policy on the Exchange Rate Case In Indonesia. Cooperative Economics Education, Economics and Administration, Faculty of Economics, State University of Jakarta, in 2015. This study aims to determine whether the credibility of fiscal policy as seen from the rules of the deficit, the debt rule, discretionary, has an influence on the exchange rate in Indonesia. The method used in this study is in the form of time series of the year 2001 (1)-2013 (4) with a sample of 52 points. Data exchange is taken by Bank Indonesia JISDOR in real time. Then the government expenditure data taken from the Central of Statistics. Data derived from the total debt of the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia. This study uses multiple linear regression model by adding a dummy variable, namely the phenomenon of 2008 financial crisis and inflation targeting, 2005. The findings indicate the model of deficit rule is not significant and does not contribute in stabilizing the exchange rate. Furthermore, the rules of the debt by adding a dummy variable inflation targeting in 2005 shows that the rule of debt can affect the exchange rate. The increase in the debt rules can stabilize the exchange rate. Then, the discretion is not significant so it does not affect the exchange rate. Then, a dummy variable inflation targeting in 2005 debt shows significant results. If the debt rules can be realized with the planned debt rules, a small deviation will then be able to stabilize the exchange rate. The financial crisis of 2008 and 2005 inflation targeting did not respond to the exchange rate. The implication is that the government pay attention to the long-term debt in order to stabilize the exchange rate because the higher the debt, the rules will result in the exchange rate stable. Keywords: Deficit rule, debt rule, discretionary, exchange rate

Actions (login required)

View Item