DAMPAK KREDIBILITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL TERHADAP DASAR NILAI TUKAR DI INDONESIA

AGUSTIN, DELVIANA (2016) DAMPAK KREDIBILITAS KEBIJAKAN FISKAL TERHADAP DASAR NILAI TUKAR DI INDONESIA. S1 thesis, Universitas Negeri Jakarta.

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Abstract

ABSTRACT DELVIANA AGUSTIN. The Impact of Fiscal Policy Credibility on the Terms of Trade: The Case of Indonesia. Economic Cooperative Education, Faculty of Economic, Universitas Negeri Jakarta, 2016. This research conducted to determine whether the effects of fiscal policy credibility as seen from the deficit rule, the debt rule, discretion, and openness can affect the stability of Terms of Trade in Indonesia. The data used in this study is time series from the year 2001 (1) -2013 (4) with the amount of data as much as 52 samples. Terms of Trade data obtained from the calculation of price of export and price of import data were taken from Central Bank of Indonesia. Data total domestic debt comes from the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia. This research uses multiple linear regression model. The calculations show a model of the deficit rules and debt rules significantly and negatively affect the terms of trade. It shows that the credibility of the deficit and debt rules may affect the terms of trade. Deficit and debt rules are not credible can decrease terms of trade. If the realization deficit and debt rules is according with the planned deficit and debt rule, the deviation will be smaller then the terms of trade will be stable. Then, for the discretionary obtained not significant results, so it can be concluded that discretion does not have an influence on the terms of trade. Findings further, openness would raise the terms of trade. The implication is that the rules that policies should consider the future so that the burden will not be great in the future. Related openness, government must intervene in order to reduce the volatility of the terms of trade. Keywords : deficit rule, debt rule, discretionary, openness, terms of trade

Item Type: Thesis (S1)
Additional Information: Pembimbing I: Dr. Haryo Kuncoro, SE, M.Si ., Pembimbing II: Karuniana Dianta A. S, S.IP, ME
Subjects: Ilmu Sosial (Social Science) > Ilmu Ekonomi (Economics) > Ekonomi Internasional (International Economics)
Ilmu Sosial (Social Science) > Perdagangan, Komunikasi, Transportasi (Commerce, Communications, Transportation) > Perdagangan Internasional (International Commerce, Foreign Trade)
Teknologi dan Ilmu-Ilmu Terapan (Technology and Applied Science) > Manajemen (Management and Auxiliary Service) > Manajemen Umum (General Management) > Manajemen Keuangan (Financial Management)
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi > S1 Pendidikan Ekonomi Koperasi
Depositing User: Budi Siswanto
Date Deposited: 21 Dec 2017 04:39
Last Modified: 21 Dec 2017 04:39
URI: http://repository.fe.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/1633

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