HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA KEDATANGAN WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA DAN CADANGAN DEVISA: STUDI KASUS DI INDONESIA

IRAENI, SITI NUR (2018) HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA KEDATANGAN WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA DAN CADANGAN DEVISA: STUDI KASUS DI INDONESIA. S1 thesis, Fakultas Ekonomi.

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Abstract

ABSTRACT SITI NUR IRAENI. The Causal Relationship between Tourist Arrivals and International Reserves: The Case in Indonesia. Economics Education, Faculty of Economics, State University of Jakarta, 2018. In the last decade, tourism has emerged as one of the major industries in Indonesia. The tourism industry contribute US$ 8,6 billion dolar of international reserves in 2011 indicated by 7,64 million of tourist arrivals (National Tourism Satellite, Ministry of Tourism and Economic). The objective of this paper is to investigate the casual relationship of international reserves and tourist arrivals in Indonesia. To test the hypotheses, we use a monthly time series data in the case of Indonesia over the period 2004 until 2016. We use a Vector Autoregressive model (VAR) to analyze the dynamic interaction between international reserves and tourist arrivals. Based on the cyclical component generated by Hodrick-Presscott (HP) filtering procedure, we found acyclical relationship between international reserves and tourist arrivals. Then, using Granger causality test, we obtained that causality running from international reserves to tourist arrivals. Those imply that in the long term, tourist arrivals can stabilize international reserves and could be an alternative tool to maintain international reserves. Keywords: tourist arrivals, international reserves, cyclicality

Item Type: Thesis (S1)
Additional Information: Pembimbing I : Dr. Haryo Kuncoro, SE, M.Si Pembimbing II: Dr. Karuniana Dianta A.Sebayang, S.IP, ME
Subjects: Teknologi dan Ilmu-Ilmu Terapan (Technology and Applied Science) > Manajemen (Management and Auxiliary Service) > Layanan Kantor (Office Services)
Teknologi dan Ilmu-Ilmu Terapan (Technology and Applied Science) > Manajemen (Management and Auxiliary Service) > Manajemen Umum (General Management) > Manajemen Perencanaan dan Strategik (Planning and Strategic Management)
Teknologi dan Ilmu-Ilmu Terapan (Technology and Applied Science) > Manajemen (Management and Auxiliary Service) > Manajemen Umum (General Management) > Manajemen Kontrol dan Kualitas (Control and Quality Management)
Teknologi dan Ilmu-Ilmu Terapan (Technology and Applied Science) > Manajemen (Management and Auxiliary Service) > Perikalanan (Advertising)
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi > S1 Pendidikan Ekonomi
Depositing User: Budi Siswanto
Date Deposited: 18 Jul 2018 08:54
Last Modified: 18 Jul 2018 08:54
URI: http://repository.fe.unj.ac.id/id/eprint/5794

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